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NATIONAL ELECTION OVERVIEW
NeuralOps PRN Total 2026
All 13 States · 600 DUN Seats · Aggregated Projections
600
Total Seats
13
Total States
300
Majority Needed
Swing Seats
Net Δ (Before → Projection)
PRN Status
Held
Upcoming
TBD
🏛 National Assembly Composition (Pre-Dissolution)
Current Composition
Bloc Seats
600
Total Seats
300
Majority Needed
13
Total States
Swing Seats
Projection Composition
Total Seats
Majority Needed
13
Total States
Swing Seats
🗺 NATIONAL CONTROL MAP
Projected state control from consensus click a tile for the state dashboard
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🎯 PATH TO MAJORITY
Seats short of national majority and swing seats needed (approx.)
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🗺 State Overview
Before (current composition) vs Unjuran Gabungan (scenario-weighted average)
Unjuran Gabungan = weighted average of all scenarios by probability: E(p) = Σ(seatsₚ × probₛ) ÷ Σ probₛ
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🎯 SCENARIO COMPARISON MATRIX
Probability of each scenario across all 13 states
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🎲 MONTE CARLO SUMMARY Method 2: Monte Carlo
Majority probability per state from 50,000 trial simulations
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🧪 GPT REGRESSION MATRIX Method 3: GPT Regression
12 regression models across 13 states leader per cell
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🎰 BOOTSTRAP SIMULATION Method 4: Bootstrap
Resampled national seat distribution from 600 seat-level probabilities
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🧠 BAYESIAN ENSEMBLE Method 5: Ensemble
Consensus control probability per state Monte Carlo × Scenario × Regression
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📡 SWING SENSITIVITY Method 6: Stress Test
Uniform swing shock how many states flip control at ±5% / ±10%
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📰 NATIONAL MEDIA SIGNAL
News-driven momentum scan across all states coalition-positive, negative and neutral coverage
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⚔ SWING SEATS MASTER LIST
All marginal seats across all states sorted by margin
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📜 ELECTION HISTORY BY STATE
Past election results and trends for each state since 2008
📊 SIMULATION REMARKS Consensus
Refined analysis synthesized from all projection methods and media sentiment
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