吉兰丹 PRN 2026
1 August 2026 · 45 DUN Seats · Majority 23
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~1,050,000 registered voters · Dissolved 5 June 2026
🏛 Before vs 预测 Gabungan
Kiri = komposisi semasa / pra-bubar. Kanan = unjuran (purata senario berwajaran) bukan salinan data semasa.
SEBELUM / BEFORE (pre-dissolution)
UNJURAN GABUNGAN (scenario-weighted)
🎯 PATH TO MAJORITY
Seats short of state majority and swing seats needed (approx.)
🗺 DUN SEAT MAP 45 CONSTITUENCIES
45🧩 STATE CONTROL MAP
Projected bloc control by DUN seat click a tile for details
⚔ MAJORITY WAR ROOM 23 SEATS TO GOVERN
🔴 实时 RESULTS CENTER
STANDBY实时 DUN seat declarations on polling day · 演示: ?demo=实时
📡 新闻 SENTIMENT RADAR
📰 ELECTION 新闻 FEED
实时 RSS马来语 Mail · Bernama · BM sentiment scoring
Kota Bharu T20, T21 emerge as key battleground seats
PAS to contest all 45 seats with unified machinery
Youth voter surge expected in Kota Bharu urban areas
PH targets urban Kota Bharu seats in anti-PAS campaign
4 BN candidates defect to PN ahead of 吉兰丹 PRN
PAS landslide in 2023 raises questions for 2026
BN struggles with UMNO identity crisis in 吉兰丹
吉兰丹 polls set for 1 August 2026 after dissolution
🎯 NEURALOPS PROJECTIONS 方法 1: 场景
模型: 40% PRN2023 + 25% GE15 + 20% sentiment + 10% demographics + 5% campaign
🎲 MONTE CARLO SIMULATION 方法 2:蒙特卡洛
50,000 trial runs across 45 seats · majority probability distribution
🧪 GPT REGRESSION SIMULATION LAB 方法 3: GPT 回归
GPT labelledMultiple regression-style stress tests across turnout, youth, rural, sentiment and transfer variables
🎛 SIMULATION CONTROLS
Adjust 实时 assumptions, then Monte Carlo and GPT regression will recalculate.
📊 SIMULATION REMARKS 共识
综合所有预测方法与媒体情绪得出的精细分析
📜 ELECTION HISTORY
实时 signal-flow analysis on election data
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