马六甲 PRN 2026
1 August 2026 · 28 DUN Seats · Majority 15
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~600,000 registered voters · Dissolved 5 June 2026
🏛 Before vs 预测 Gabungan
Kiri = komposisi semasa / pra-bubar. Kanan = unjuran (purata senario berwajaran) bukan salinan data semasa.
SEBELUM / BEFORE (pre-dissolution)
UNJURAN GABUNGAN (scenario-weighted)
🎯 PATH TO MAJORITY
Seats short of state majority and swing seats needed (approx.)
🗺 DUN SEAT MAP 28 CONSTITUENCIES
28🧩 STATE CONTROL MAP
Projected bloc control by DUN seat click a tile for details
⚔ MAJORITY WAR ROOM 15 SEATS TO GOVERN
🔴 实时 RESULTS CENTER
STANDBY实时 DUN seat declarations on polling day · 演示: ?demo=实时
📡 新闻 SENTIMENT RADAR
📰 ELECTION 新闻 FEED
实时 RSS马来语 Mail · Bernama · BM sentiment scoring
PN eyes rural Jasin and Alor Gajah marginals after 2021 gains
Muhamad Akmal Saleh rallies BN grassroots in Merlimau ahead of poll
PH targets urban belt — Kota Laksamana, Bandar Hilir, Ayer Keroh
CM Ab Rauf Yusoh confident BN can defend 马六甲 majority
Adly Zahari leads PH charge in Bukit Katil, aims to expand seats
Tightest 2021 margins: Serkam (79), Pengkalan Batu (131), Duyong (200)
马六甲 polls set for 1 August after dissolution of DUN
2021 snap election context: 4 MLAs withdrew support from CM Sulaiman
🎯 NEURALOPS PROJECTIONS 方法 1: 场景
模型: 40% PRN2023 + 25% GE15 + 20% sentiment + 10% demographics + 5% campaign
🎲 MONTE CARLO SIMULATION 方法 2:蒙特卡洛
50,000 trial runs across 28 seats · majority probability distribution
🧪 GPT REGRESSION SIMULATION LAB 方法 3: GPT 回归
GPT labelledMultiple regression-style stress tests across turnout, youth, rural, sentiment and transfer variables
🎛 SIMULATION CONTROLS
Adjust 实时 assumptions, then Monte Carlo and GPT regression will recalculate.
📊 SIMULATION REMARKS 共识
综合所有预测方法与媒体情绪得出的精细分析
📜 ELECTION HISTORY
实时 signal-flow analysis on election data
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